Forecast — US Powerball

The forecast is built on the pause frequency distribution of each ball. For every ball, we look at how many draws have passed since its last appearance (current delay), then project this delay forward into future draws. At each projected pause length, we compare the empirical (observed) frequency of that pause with the theoretical (expected) frequency. If the ball has been absent longer than usual — its observed probability at this delay exceeds the theoretical one — the deviation is positive (hot, red). If the ball appeared recently and a short pause is historically rare — the deviation is negative (cold, blue). The deeper the color, the stronger the deviation. Use the toggle button to switch between relative (%) and absolute (percentage points) deviation display.

Deviation of each digit's actual appearance count from the theoretical average. Positive values (hot) — the ball appeared more often than mathematically expected, negative (cold) — less often than mathematically expected.

Deviation of each number's actual frequency per ball from the theoretical distribution (order statistics). Shows how much the real positional frequencies differ from mathematically expected.